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Analysis of the potential of renewable energy sources to strengthen Ukraine’s energy security

再生可能エネルギー源がウクライナのエネルギー安全保障強化に与える可能性の分析 (AI 翻訳)

Serhii Dudnikov, L. Savchenko, Myroslav Sabat, Yurii Shelekh, Andrii Kozovyi

Heritage and Sustainable Development📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-03-28#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.37868/hsd.v8i1.1955
原典: https://doi.org/10.37868/hsd.v8i1.1955

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

ウクライナのエネルギー安全保障指数(ESI)に対する再生可能エネルギー導入の影響を2000-2020年のデータで分析。重回帰分析の結果、暖房部門の脱炭素化がエネルギー安全保障に大きく寄与し、電力部門の再生可能エネルギーは統計的に有意でないことが判明。戦後復興においては欧州グリーンディールに沿った再生可能エネルギー分散化が戦略的自律性向上に不可欠と提言。

English

This study analyzes the impact of renewable energy adoption on Ukraine's energy security index (ESI) from 2000-2020 using OLS regression. Results show that modern renewables in heating, transport, and SDG 7.2 significantly affect domestic production but not ESI, while renewable electricity is insignificant. The findings suggest that decarbonizing the heating sector to replace imported natural gas is key, and post-war reconstruction should align with the European Green Deal for strategic autonomy.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

ウクライナ紛争後のエネルギー自立戦略として、再生可能エネルギーの分散化が安全保障に直結する点は、エネルギー輸入依存度の高い日本にも示唆を与える。日本のGX政策における再生可能エネルギー導入促進とエネルギー安全保障の連携を考える上で参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence linking renewable energy deployment to energy security in a conflict-affected context, reinforcing the global discourse on the dual benefits of decarbonization and strategic autonomy. It highlights the importance of sector-specific approaches (e.g., heating vs. electricity) for energy resilience, relevant for post-war reconstruction and climate policy integration.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Empirical methodology linking renewable energy metrics to energy security indices offers a replicable framework for other import-dependent countries.

🏢実務担当者:Energy planners can use the finding that heating sector decarbonization is more critical than electricity for reducing gas import dependence.

🏛政策担当者:Policy implications for post-war reconstruction: integrating renewable decentralization as a defense strategy against foreign energy reliance.

📄 Abstract(原文)

The recent geopolitical landscape and the security challenges posed by historically relying on imported fossil fuels have forced Ukraine to make energy security an existential priority. This study aims to analyze the impact of transition towards renewable energy on Ukraine’s energy security index (ESI) for the period 2000-2020. The study employs the secondary data obtained from the International energy agency to implement multiple linear regression (OLS) to measure the influence of the adoption of renewable energy and the domestic production of renewable energy on the ESI. The results of the study suggest that the model is explainable. One of the major results of the study includes the cognition that the modern renewables share, which includes heating, transport and SDG 7.2, has more of an impact on domestic production than on energy security. In addition, the results of the study indicate that the renewable electricity sector is statistically insignificant. This suggests that Ukraine’s energy resilience is mainly determined by the need to decarbonize the heating sector which would eliminate the need for imported natural gas. The findings of the study suggest Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction to comply with the European green deal to achieve strategic autonomy. It suggests that the decentralization of renewable energy systems and fossil fuel energy is more than just an environmental strategy. It is rather an action of defense against over-reliance on foreign energy systems.

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