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Economic Growth, Globalization, Renewable Energy, and Trade Openness as Drivers of Carbon Emissions in the United States: Evidence Under Non-Normal Errors

米国における炭素排出の要因:経済成長、グローバル化、再生可能エネルギー、貿易開放度の影響(非正規誤差下での証拠) (AI 翻訳)

Gökhan KONAT, Ahmet Koncak, Oktay Kızılkaya, Ayşegül Han, Umut Turgut Yıldırım, Sena Şahin

Energies📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-21#気候科学Origin: US対象セクター: cross_sector
DOI: 10.3390/en19143439
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/en19143439

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は1990~2020年の年次データを用いて、米国のCO2排出要因を分析。経済成長とグローバル化は排出を増加させる一方、再生可能エネルギー消費は削減に寄与することを確認。貿易開放度の影響はモデルにより異なる。長期的には再生可能エネルギーが排出抑制に有効であることを示唆。

English

This study examines CO2 emission determinants in the US (1990-2020) using cointegration methods. Results show economic growth and globalization increase emissions, while renewable energy reduces them. Trade openness has mixed effects. Findings support renewable energy for long-term emission reduction.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の脱炭素政策においても、再生可能エネルギーの推進が有効であることを示す一般的なエビデンスとして参考になる。ただし米国固有のデータに基づくため、直接的な政策的含意は限定的。

In the global GX context

This US-focused study provides empirical evidence on the role of renewable energy in reducing emissions, relevant to global climate policy discourse. However, the methodology is standard and does not address disclosure frameworks or transition finance.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Useful for empirical replication and comparison with other countries' emission drivers.

🏛政策担当者:Provides general support for renewable energy as a mitigation strategy.

📄 Abstract(原文)

In this study, carbon emissions determinants are examined in the United States using annual data from 1990 to 2020. Explanatory variables in the empirical model are economic growth, globalization, renewable energy consumption and trade openness. Unit root tests without and with structural breaks show that all variables are incorporated of order one, I (1). It is confirmed that the long-run relationship exists with the Bayer and Hanck combined cointegration approach and the Residual Augmented Least Square Engle-Granger (RALS-EG) cointegration test, respectively. Results indicate that CO2 emissions increase with economic growth and globalization whereas renewable energy consumption reduces emissions. Trade openness has an effect across model specifications. Trade openness reduces emissions of carbon in the constant model but raises emissions in the constant-with-trend specification, so it may have an environmental impact depending on underlying economic conditions as well as structural changes over time. Overall, the findings imply that renewable energy can help restrict long-term carbon emissions. They also point out that economic growth, globalization and trade openness may have environmental consequences when designing policies for sustainable development and emission reduction.

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