Risk Identification of Green Hydrogen Supply Chain in Ammonia Industry in Indonesia using Delphi and TOPSIS Methods
インドネシアのアンモニア産業におけるグリーン水素サプライチェーンのリスク特定：デルファイ法とTOPSIS法を用いて (AI 翻訳)
Ananda Priatama, Sheila Tobing
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、インドネシアのアンモニア産業向けグリーン水素サプライチェーンのリスクを特定・優先順位付けした。文献レビューとデルファイ法により27の重要リスク要因を抽出し、TOPSIS法で評価した結果、施設の不適切な立地、政策・規制の整備、資金調達の制約、気候変動と再生可能エネルギーの利用可能性、政治的不安定性が最大のリスクであることが判明した。先進国とは異なり、政策・ガバナンス関連リスクが顕著である。
English
This study identifies and prioritizes risks in the green hydrogen supply chain for Indonesia's ammonia industry. Using Delphi and TOPSIS methods, 27 critical risk factors are evaluated. Key risks include improper facility location, policy and regulation development, funding constraints, climate change and renewable energy availability, and political instability. Unlike developed countries, policy and governance risks dominate.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
インドネシアは日本のアジアにおける水素サプライチェーン構想の重要なパートナーであり、本研究成果は日本企業の現地投資や技術協力におけるリスク評価に活用できる。日本国内でも水素サプライチェーンのリスク管理が注目される中、新興国特有の政策リスクを認識する上で示唆に富む。
In the global GX context
This paper provides empirical evidence on green hydrogen supply chain risks in a developing country context, complementing the largely developed-country-focused literature. It highlights the critical role of policy and governance risks, which is relevant for global investors and policymakers planning hydrogen investments in emerging economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a systematic risk identification framework (Delphi+TOPSIS) for hydrogen supply chains in developing countries, offering comparative insights with developed regions.
🏢実務担当者:Offers a ranked list of 27 risk factors that can inform risk mitigation strategies for green hydrogen projects in Indonesia, particularly for ammonia production.
🏛政策担当者:Underscores the importance of policy stability and regulatory clarity in attracting green hydrogen investment, with specific insights for Indonesian and similar emerging markets.
📄 Abstract（原文）
The development of green hydrogen in Indonesia, while promising for supporting industrial decarbonization, remains in its early stages and faces various challenges across technical, economic, and regulatory domains. This study aims to identify and prioritize the risks linked to green hydrogen supply chain in Indonesia, particularly for applications in the ammonia industry. A set of 49 potential risk factors was initially compiled through literature review and prior studies. The Delphi method was employed with a panel of experts to validate these risks, ultimately refining the list to 27 critical risk factors. Subsequently, the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method was used to quantify and rank these risks based on expert assessments of likelihood and impact. The results indicate that the most significant risks include improper location of facilities, policy and regulation development, access to funding and financial constraints, climate change and renewable energy availability, and political instability. Compared to previous studies in developed countries where technological and infrastructure risks dominate, this study highlights the prominence of policy and governance-related risks in Indonesia. The findings provide critical insights for stakeholders to design targeted mitigation strategies and prioritize actions that will foster a more resilient and investable green hydrogen ecosystem for ammonia industry in the country.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.7454/jmef.v5i1.1119first seen 2026-05-05 19:39:28
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