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航空・海運の脱炭素化:クリーン燃料経路、ライフサイクルGHG性能、導入戦略の比較評価

Decarbonizing Aviation and Maritime Transport: Comparative Assessment of Clean Fuel Pathways, Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Performance, and Deployment Strategies (原題)

Malik Sajawal Akhtar, Diego Moya, Muhammad Abdul Qyyum, Haris Ishaq, Amjad Riaz, Jay J. Liu

Advances in Applied Energy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-11-01#エネルギー転換Origin: Global経営インパクト: 調達リスク対象セクター: transport
DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2026.100318
原典: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.adapen.2026.100318
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

航空・海運の脱炭素化に向け、水素・アンモニア・メタノール・SAF・PtL/e-fuel・バイオLNGを比較したレビュー。Well-to-wakeのLCAと技術経済性、インフラ、規制整合性を分けて評価。航空はHEFA-SAFが近-term最有力、PtLは電力・水素・CO2制約が大きい。海運はメタノールが早期統合に有利で、アンモニア・水素は貯蔵・安全・インフラ面の制約が残る。一律の優劣ではなく文脈依存のポートフォリオとシステム統合の視点を支持する。

English

This review compares hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, SAF, PtL/e-fuels, and bio-LNG for aviation and shipping decarbonization, using well-to-wake LCA, techno-economics, infrastructure, and regulatory alignment. HEFA-SAF is the strongest near-term aviation option, while PtL is constrained by electricity, hydrogen, and CO2 needs. For maritime, methanol offers favorable near-term integration, whereas ammonia and hydrogen face storage, safety, and maturity barriers. The authors argue for a context-dependent fuel portfolio rather than a universal hierarchy.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は航空・海運の国際競争力とエネルギー安保の観点から次世代燃料の導入戦略が政策課題。本レビューは燃料別のLCA・コスト・インフラ制約を整理し、国内のSAF・水素・アンモニア供給計画やGX推進の投資判断に実務的示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

Aligns with global transport transition policy (ICAO CORSIA, IMO GHG strategy) and transition-finance discussions on hard-to-abate sectors. The comparative LCA and cost framing helps investors and disclosure teams assess fuel-pathway credibility and stranded-asset risk in aviation and shipping.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:燃料経路間のLCA・技術経済比較の方法論的課題と、Well-to-wake評価の境界設定の重要性を学べる。

🏢実務担当者:航空・海運の脱炭素調達やScope 3排出削減計画において、燃料別のコスト・インフラ制約を踏まえた現実的なポートフォリオ検討に使える。

🏛政策担当者:SAF・PtL・メタノール等の導入支援策やインフラ投資の優先順位を、燃料別の制約と成熟度に基づき設計する際の参考になる。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Decarbonizing aviation and shipping requires low-carbon fuels whose climate performance depends on production route, electricity source, feedstock, conversion efficiency, infrastructure, and end-use conditions. This review compares hydrogen, ammonia, methanol, sustainable aviation fuels (SAF), power-to-liquid (PtL)/e-fuel pathways, and biomethane/bio-liquefied natural gas (bio-LNG) using a structured evidence-mapping approach and critical comparative synthesis of peer-reviewed literature and authoritative institutional evidence available through 2026. Owing to methodological heterogeneity, results were not statistically pooled. Well-to-wake accounting was preferred for life-cycle greenhouse-gas (GHG) comparisons, while technology readiness, techno-economics, infrastructure, regulatory alignment, and sectoral suitability were assessed separately. For aviation, normalized production costs are USD2020 44.97/GJ-LHV for hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA)-SAF and USD2020 74.80/GJ-LHV for PtL-SAF. PtL production requires about 42 kWh electricity/kg fuel and, in one pathway, 0.8 kg H 2 and 3.1 kg CO 2 /kg SAF. For maritime transport, equivalent fuel-volume requirements are approximately 1.8, 2.5, 3.1, and 4.6 times those of heavy fuel oil (HFO) for bio-LNG, methanol, ammonia, and liquid hydrogen, respectively. Drop-in SAF remains the strongest near-term aviation option, whereas PtL pathways are more constrained by electricity, hydrogen, and CO 2 requirements. In maritime transport, methanol offers favorable near-term integration, while ammonia and hydrogen remain constrained by storage, safety, infrastructure, and technology maturity. Across both sectors, performance remains sensitive to electricity carbon intensity and price, feedstock and CO 2 availability, methane leakage, plant utilization, infrastructure, and system boundaries. The review supports a context-dependent portfolio and system-integration perspective rather than a universal fuel hierarchy.

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