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Simultaneous Relationship Analysis Between Carbon Dioxide Emissions and GDP Per Capita in Asia: The Dynamics of Urbanization, Energy Consumption, Foreign Direct Investment, and Trade Openness

アジアにおける二酸化炭素排出量と一人当たりGDPの同時関係分析:都市化、エネルギー消費、外国直接投資、貿易開放度の動学 (AI 翻訳)

Kamil Habibi, Imam Asngari, Abdul Bashir, Azwardi, Muhammad Subardin

DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-06-01#気候科学
DOI: 10.69965/danadyaksa.v4i1.285
原典: https://doaj.org/article/d20651d9ecea46a8bff50eb3b4ae665d

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、2000年~2024年のアジア10カ国を対象に、二酸化炭素排出量と一人当たりGDPの同時関係を2SLS法で分析。結果、排出量とGDPは相互に影響し合い、持続効果が確認された。経済成長は依然としてエネルギー集約的で投資主導型であり、強い経路依存性が示された。

English

This study examines the simultaneous relationship between CO2 emissions and GDP per capita in 10 Asian countries using 2SLS on panel data (2000-2024). Results show mutual interdependence and persistence effects, indicating that economic growth in Asia remains energy- and investment-intensive with strong path dependence.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

アジア全体のCO2排出と経済成長の同時関係を分析した本論文は、日本のGX戦略におけるアジア地域との連携や、途上国への技術移転の効果を考える上で参考となる。特に、排出量とGDPの持続効果が確認された点は、長期的な政策の重要性を示唆する。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes to the global debate on the emissions-income nexus by using simultaneous equations, revealing mutual causation and path dependence. It highlights the challenge of decoupling economic growth from emissions in developing Asian economies, relevant for global climate policy.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Useful for researchers studying the simultaneous relationship between economic growth and emissions, especially the application of 2SLS with panel data.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in Asia may find the persistence effects evidence helpful for designing long-term decarbonization strategies that account for feedback loops.

📄 Abstract(原文)

This study aims to analyze the simultaneous relationship between carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions and GDP per capita in 10 Asian countries, considering the dynamics of urbanization, energy consumption, foreign direct investment (FDI), and trade openness. The research employs an explanatory quantitative approach using panel data covering the period 2000–2024, obtained from the World Bank (WDI). The analysis applies a simultaneous equation model estimated using the Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) method to address endogeneity issues. The results indicate that CO₂ emissions are significantly influenced by GDP per capita, urbanization, energy consumption, FDI, and lagged emissions, highlighting the presence of persistence effects. Meanwhile, GDP per capita is significantly affected by CO₂ emissions, FDI, and its lagged value. These findings suggest that economic growth in Asia remains highly dependent on energy-intensive and investment-driven activities, characterized by strong path dependence. Overall, the relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation is found to be mutually interdependent within a simultaneous system.

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