Does geopolitical risk accelerate climate vulnerability? New evidence from the European Green Deal
地政学リスクは気候脆弱性を加速するか?欧州グリーンディールからの新たな証拠 (AI 翻訳)
Kangyin Y. Dong, Senmiao M. Yang, J Wang, Rabindra Nepal, Tooraj Jamasb
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本稿は1995~2021年の41カ国パネルデータを用い、地政学リスクが気候脆弱性を悪化させること、欧州グリーンディール(EGD)がグリーン移行・投資を通じてその影響を緩和することを実証した。地政学的ショック下での気候レジリエンス強化に政策が有効であることを示す。
English
Using panel data for 41 countries from 1995-2021, this study shows that geopolitical risk exacerbates climate vulnerability, but the European Green Deal mitigates this effect by reinforcing green transition and investment. Policy implications for accelerating green transition and regional coordination.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
欧州グリーンディールに焦点を当てているが、日本のGX政策(特にグリーントランスフォーメーション推進)にも示唆がある。地政学リスクが気候脆弱性に与える影響と、政策介入の緩和効果を実証した点は、日本のエネルギー安全保障とGX推進の議論に貢献する。
In the global GX context
This paper provides robust empirical evidence on how the European Green Deal offsets the adverse effects of geopolitical risk on climate vulnerability. It underscores the importance of green policy as a buffer against geopolitical shocks, relevant for global climate resilience and transition finance discussions.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Empirical evidence on the interaction between geopolitical risk and climate vulnerability, and the moderating role of green policy.
🏢実務担当者:Insights for corporate sustainability teams on how policy frameworks like the EU Green Deal can reduce climate-related risks from geopolitical instability.
🏛政策担当者:Demonstrates the effectiveness of green policies in enhancing climate resilience amid geopolitical conflicts, supporting accelerated transition and regional coordination.
📄 Abstract(原文)
Abstract Geopolitical shocks complicate climate governance and may heighten climate vulnerability, but the magnitude, channels, and the offsetting role of green policy remain unclear. In this context, this study uses panel data for 41 countries from 1995 to 2021 and uses the European Green Deal (EGD) as a policy example to examine how policy intervention shapes the relationship between geopolitical risk and climate vulnerability, employing a two-way fixed-effects model. The main findings are: (1) geopolitical risk exacerbates climate vulnerability, primarily through negative impacts on food, water, health, and ecosystems; (2) the green transition and green investment effectively mitigate the adverse impact of geopolitical risk on climate vulnerability; and (3) by reinforcing these transition and investment channels, the EGD further reduces climate vulnerability associated with geopolitical conflicts. Based on these findings, policy should speed the green transition, mobilize private capital, and strengthen regional coordination to reduce the impact of geopolitical conflicts and enhance climate resilience.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-026-00466-7first seen 2026-05-17 04:45:36
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