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Navigating the energy transition: Are citizens' mental models aligned with national policy and policy support?

エネルギートランジションをナビゲートする：市民のメンタルモデルは国家政策と政策支援に合致しているか？ (AI 翻訳)

K.L. van den Broek, L. de Jager, R. Doran, G. Böhm

Energy Research & Social Science📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-23#エネルギー転換Origin: Global
DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2026.104719
原典: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2026.104719

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

この研究は、市民のエネルギートランジションに関するメンタルモデルが国家政策とどの程度一致しているかを、オランダとノルウェーを事例に調査した。システム思考アプローチを用いて、16の経路成分の中心性を分析し、政策レビューや市民の優先度・有効性評価と比較した。結果、メンタルモデルと政策の間には強い相関が見られ、市民の認識と政策の一致が重要であることを示した。

English

This study investigates how citizens' mental models of the energy transition align with national policies, using a systems thinking approach. Focusing on the Netherlands and Norway, it compares the centrality of 16 pathway components in mental models with their prominence in policy reviews and citizens' ratings. Results show strong correlations, indicating that aligning mental models with policy is crucial for public support.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では、GX実現に向けた国民の理解と協力が不可欠である。本論文は、市民のメンタルモデルと政策の一致が政策支援に与える影響を明らかにしており、日本のエネルギー政策立案やコミュニケーション戦略にも示唆を与える。特に、脱炭素化の各経路について国民の認識を把握するための枠組みとして参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a method for assessing public alignment with energy transition policies, which is relevant globally as countries design socially acceptable decarbonization strategies. The systems approach can be applied to any national context, offering insights into fostering policy support.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Researchers can adopt the mental model methodology to study public perceptions of energy transitions in other contexts.

🏢実務担当者:Sustainability teams can use these insights to design communication strategies that align with citizen mental models.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers should consider how public mental models match policy goals to enhance support and participation.

📄 Abstract（原文）

The energy transition is a complex process, involving multiple interconnected pathways. Therefore, understanding citizens' perceptions of this transition requires a systems thinking approach—one that recognises the interdependencies among these pathways and their collective role in achieving the energy transition. Mental models offer a valuable lens into such perceptions, as they capture individuals' assumptions about the causal relationships among components of the energy transition pathway. Aligning citizens' mental models with national energy transition policies is essential for cultivating public support and participation, yet this relationship remains underexplored. This study investigates how citizens' mental models of the energy transition align with national policy and how these mental models relate to perceptions of the effectiveness and priority of pathway components. Focusing on the Netherlands and Norway, we examine the centrality of 16 energy transition pathway components within citizens' mental models, comparing this with their prominence in national policy reviews and citizens' ratings of priority and effectiveness. Results show (1) strong correlations between the prominence of pathway components in mental models and their prominence in national policy reviews, and (2) moderate to strong correlations between the prominence of the pathway components in the mental models with citizens' perceived priority and effectiveness of the pathway components. These findings provide valuable insights for enhancing public engagement and support for energy transition strategies. • Presents a systems thinking approach to public perceptions of the energy transition • Explores how energy transition mental models align with national policy • Compares mental models with judged priority and effectiveness of possible pathways • Some mental model characteristics correlate strongly with energy transition policy • Mental model characteristics correlate moderately to strongly with policy support

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