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エネルギー転換における住宅消費者:ネットワーク統合・需要動学・社会的相互作用に関する論考

Residential Consumers in the Energy Transition: Essays on Network Integration, Demand Dynamics, and Social Interactions. (原題)

Voahary Iangotiana Andriamaromanana

Open Repository and Bibliography (University of Liège)ジャーナル2026-08-31#エネルギー転換Origin: EU経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: power
原典: https://orbi.uliege.be/handle/2268/346229

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本博士論文は、住宅世帯が消費者・生産者・投資家として下す分散的意思決定が、エネルギー転換の集合的帰結をどう形成するかを分析する。屋上PVの系統注入が生むネットワーク外部性、天然ガス需要の短期慣性と長期価格弾力性、PV普及におけるピア効果の時間的変化という3つのメカニズムを、理論モデルと大規模行政データ・計量手法で示す。転換は個々の選択の単純な集計ではなく集合的・進化的プロセスであり、適応的で文脈固有の政策が必要だと結論づける。

English

This thesis examines how household decisions—as consumers, producers, and investors—shape collective outcomes in the energy transition. Using theoretical modeling, large-scale administrative data, and econometrics, it identifies three mechanisms: uninternalized network externalities from rooftop PV injection, short-run inertia with rising long-run price responsiveness in gas demand, and peer effects in PV diffusion that evolve with market maturity. It argues the transition is a collective, evolving process requiring adaptive, context-specific policy.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本では第7次エネルギー基本計画や再エネ主力電源化、家庭部門の電化・PV普及が政策課題であり、系統増強コストと需要側柔軟性の設計はSSBJ開示以前の実務的論点として重要。ピア効果や価格弾力性の知見は、日本の住宅向け再エネ政策・DR制度設計に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

Globally, this speaks to demand-side flexibility, distributed energy resource integration, and just transition debates central to EU and US decarbonization policy. Its evidence on peer effects and inertia informs behavioral climate policy design beyond price-based instruments.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:住宅エネルギー行動の計量手法(持続性・内生性・空間依存)とピア効果の時間変化の実証枠組みが参考になる。

🏢実務担当者:PV・蓄電池・DRサービスの普及戦略や顧客インセンティブ設計に、慣性とピア効果の知見を活用できる。

🏛政策担当者:系統増強と柔軟性の費用配分、価格弾力性の時間軸を踏まえた適応的な住宅再エネ・需要側政策の設計に示唆。

📄 Abstract(原文)

The energy transition is often presented as a technological and infrastructural challenge, yet its success ultimately depends on millions of decentralized decisions made by residential households. As energy systems evolve, households no longer act merely as passive consumers, they produce electricity, invest in new technologies, and adjust their consumption in response to economic incentives. This thesis asks how these household decisions, as consumers, producers, and investors, shape collective outcomes in the energy transition. It combines theoretical modeling, large-scale administrative data, and econometric methods tailored to the persistence, endogeneity, and spatial dependence of residential energy behavior. The thesis highlights three key mechanisms. First, decentralized electricity injection from rooftop photovoltaic systems creates network externalities that households do not internalize, leading to costly grid reinforcement instead of more efficient flexibility solutions. Second, residential natural gas demand exhibits strong short-run inertia driven by habits and equipment constraints, while price responsiveness increases over time as households adjust behavior and investments. Third, photovoltaic diffusion is influenced by peer effects that evolve with market maturity and policy support, strengthening early adoption but weakening, and sometimes reversing, over time. Together, these findings show that the energy transition is not the simple aggregation of individual choices but a collective and evolving process, pointing to the need for adaptive, context-specific, and system-aware policies. Ultimately, the transition must happen with people rather than to them.

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