気候リスクはいかに都市エネルギー構造の低炭素移行を促すか
How climate risk drives low-carbon transition of urban energy structures (原題)
Yuanyuan Hao
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
中国285の地級市を対象に、双方向固定効果モデルで気候リスクが都市エネルギー構造の低炭素移行に与える影響を検証。気候リスクは移行を有意に抑制するが、政府の環境規制強化・生態系レジリエンス向上・市民の環境関心の高まりを通じて間接的に促進する経路も示す。抑制効果は西部・非省都・非資源依存都市で顕著で、適応政策と低炭素パイロット政策が異なる調整効果を持つ。
English
Using 285 Chinese prefecture-level cities and a two-way fixed-effects model, this study examines how climate risk affects urban low-carbon energy transition. Climate risk significantly inhibits the transition directly, yet indirectly promotes it via stronger environmental regulation, improved ecological resilience, and higher public environmental concern. Effects are stronger in western, non-capital, and non-resource cities, with adaptation and low-carbon pilot policies showing distinct moderating roles.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本ではSSBJ・有報での気候リスク開示が進む中、気候リスクが実際にエネルギー移行を促すか阻害するかという因果的問いは、企業・自治体の移行計画策定に示唆を与える。中国の都市レベル実証は、日本の自治体気候政策や地域脱炭素ロードマップの設計にも比較材料として有用。
In the global GX context
Amid TCFD/ISSB-driven climate risk disclosure, this paper offers rare city-level causal evidence on whether climate risk accelerates or delays energy transition, complementing firm-level transition-plan scholarship. Its mechanism findings (regulation, resilience, public concern) inform how disclosure translates into real-economy decarbonization, relevant to CSRD and transition-finance debates.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:気候リスクとエネルギー移行の因果関係を都市レベルで検証した実証手法とメカニズム分析が参考になる。
🏢実務担当者:気候リスクが規制・レジリエンス・市民関心を通じて移行を促す経路は、地域事業の移行計画策定に示唆を与える。
🏛政策担当者:適応政策と低炭素パイロット政策の調整効果の違いは、地域脱炭素政策の設計に直接参考となる。
📄 Abstract（原文）
The low-carbon transition of the energy structure is crucial for both climate mitigation and ecological resilience, but whether rising climate risk will spur such a transition remains an open question. Taking 285 prefecture-level cities in China as the research sample, this study employs a two-way fixed-effects model to investigate the impact of climate risk on the low-carbon transition of urban energy structure and its underlying mechanisms. The empirical results reveal that climate risk significantly inhibits the low-carbon transition of urban energy structure, and this inhibitory effect remains statistically significant after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests. Mechanism analysis demonstrates that climate risk can indirectly facilitate the low-carbon transition of urban energy structure by strengthening governmental environmental regulation, improving urban ecological resilience, and raising public environmental concern. Further heterogeneity analyses suggest that the inhibiting effect of climate risk is more pronounced in western China, non-provincial-capital cities, and non-resource-based cities. In addition, climate-adaptation-oriented policies and low-carbon pilot city policies exert distinctly different moderating effects on the nexus between climate risk and low-carbon transition of urban energy structure. These findings offer new empirical evidence on the economic consequences of climate risk and provide important decision-making references for cities to develop a low-carbon and sustainable energy system.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.33543058first seen 2026-09-12 05:02:20 · last seen 2026-09-12 05:02:24
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