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Comparative techno-economic analysis of offshore wind, solar PV and hybrid green hydrogen production in Türkiye

トルコにおける洋上風力、太陽光発電、ハイブリッドグリーン水素生産の比較技術経済分析 (AI 翻訳)

A. Yıldırım, M. Bilgili

Marine Georesources & Geotechnology📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-01-14#水素経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: energy
DOI: 10.1080/1064119x.2026.2613742
原典: https://doi.org/10.1080/1064119x.2026.2613742

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は、トルコのカラビガ地域を対象に、洋上風力(OWP)、太陽光発電(PV)、およびそれらのハイブリッドシステムを用いたグリーン水素生産の技術的・経済的評価を実施。2025年と2050年の水素生産量、均等化水素コスト(LCOH)を試算し、CAPEXや割引率がコストに大きく影響することを示した。また、YEKA政策(CfD、グリーンボンド)が水素コスト削減に有効であると結論づけた。

English

This study evaluates green hydrogen production using offshore wind, solar PV, and hybrid systems at Karabiga, Türkiye. It provides 2025 and 2050 hydrogen output and levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) estimates, showing that CAPEX and discount rates are key drivers. It also finds that YEKA policy tools (CfD, green bonds) can effectively reduce hydrogen costs.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本は水素社会実現を掲げ、洋上風力を活用した水素生産の検討が進む。トルコのYEKA政策(CfD、グリーンボンド)は日本の水素戦略やFIP制度と比較する上で参考になる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a rigorous techno-economic framework for green hydrogen from offshore wind and solar, relevant for global hydrogen roadmap planning. The sensitivity analysis and policy tools (CfD, green bonds) offer insights for countries like Japan developing hydrogen infrastructure.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a comparative model for hydrogen production configurations with detailed LCOH breakdowns and sensitivity analysis.

🏢実務担当者:Useful for energy companies and investors assessing green hydrogen project feasibility, especially in offshore wind contexts.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights how CfD and green bonds can reduce hydrogen costs, informing policy design for hydrogen support schemes.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract This study introduces a comprehensive model for green hydrogen production using Renewable Energy Sources (RESs), specifically offshore wind power (OWP) and solar energy. The framework evaluates three configurations: OWP, solar photovoltaic (PV), and a hybrid OWP–PV system—to assess their technical performance and cost effectiveness for hydrogen production using RO-treated (desalinated) seawater. For 2025, the estimated hydrogen outputs are 82.01 kg/h for the offshore-wind system, 17.87 kg/h for the PV scenario, and 99.87 kg/h for the hybrid configuration. Anticipated technological advances and cost reductions raise these values in 2050 to 130.62 kg/h, 28.46 kg/h, and 159.08 kg/h, respectively. At an 8% discount rate, the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) in 2025 is 10.25 USD kg−1 for OWP, 5.97 USD kg−1 for PV, and 9.65 USD kg−1 for the hybrid system, while projected 2050 costs decline to 4.46 USD kg−1, 1.66 USD kg−1, and 3.98 USD kg−1. Sensitivity analysis shows that CAPEX, electrolyzer performance, and hydrogen output mainly drive LCOH. In Türkiye, where offshore wind installations have yet to be deployed and studies on offshore-wind-based hydrogen production remain scarce, these scenario-driven results offer timely, site-specific insights that can inform long-term energy planning and investment strategies. HIGHLIGHTS Assesses green hydrogen production from offshore wind, PV, and hybrid systems at Karabiga, Türkiye. Hybrid OWP + PV configuration achieves ≈1,394 t H2 yr−1 by 2050, ensuring continuous supply. PV-only system offers the lowest 2050 LCOH (≈1.45–1.88 USD kg−1 at r = 6–10%). LCOH is most sensitive to CAPEX and discount rate variations. YEKA policy tools (CfD, green bonds) effectively reduce hydrogen costs in Türkiye.

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