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Nexus Biofuel Consumption, Economic Growth and Environment in Saudi Arabia: Current and Prospective

サウジアラビアにおけるバイオ燃料消費、経済成長、環境の連関：現在と将来 (AI 翻訳)

Abda Emam, Egbal Elmsaad, Amal Abass

Sustainability📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-06#エネルギー転換
DOI: 10.3390/su18094603
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/su18094603
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究はサウジアラビアのバイオ燃料消費、経済成長、CO2排出の関係を1990～2023年のデータで分析。長期の共統合関係を確認し、予測期間（2023～2035年）ではバイオ燃料消費とGDPの成長が続く一方、CO2排出の伸びが鈍化する可能性を示した。経済成長と環境負荷の切り離し（デカップリング）の兆候を指摘し、バイオ燃料推進とクリーンエネルギー政策の重要性を強調している。

English

This study examines the nexus between biofuel consumption, economic growth, and CO2 emissions in Saudi Arabia using data from 1990 to 2023. It finds long-run cointegration and forecasts that while biofuel consumption and GDP will continue growing, CO2 emissions growth will slow down during 2023-2035, suggesting a possible decoupling. The results highlight the need for biofuel promotion and clean energy policies.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

サウジアラビアのバイオ燃料と経済成長・環境の関係を実証的に分析した点が特徴。日本にとっては、中東の産油国におけるエネルギー転換の動きを理解し、日本の水素・アンモニア戦略やJCM事業との比較に役立つ可能性がある。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on the biofuel-economy-environment nexus in an oil-rich country, offering insights into the energy transition in resource-dependent economies. It contributes to the global discourse on decoupling economic growth from emissions and underscores the role of bioenergy in climate mitigation strategies.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Researchers in energy economics can use the cointegration methodology and forecasting approach for similar analyses in other countries.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers in Saudi Arabia may consider the projected decoupling as a basis for promoting biofuel development and clean energy policies.

📄 Abstract（原文）

Environmental and climatic alterations, coupled with increasing economic activity and increasing energy demand, have reinforced the global need to develop substitute fuels as a means of reducing reliance on fossil fuels. Saudi Arabia has shown increasing biofuel consumption (charcoal and fuelwood) in recent years. Thus, this study was designed to examine the relationship between biofuel energy consfumption, economic growth and the environment. Accordingly, the study comprises dual portions: the first tests the cointegration association among biofuel consumption and economic growth, while the second discovers a cointegration association among biofuel consumption and carbon dioxide emissions. The study also includes a forecasting analysis. Data on biofuel energy consumption, economic growth and the environment were compiled from numerous sources covering the period from 1990 to 2023. Engel–Granger method assessments revealed long-term relationships between bioenergy consumption, economic growth, and environmental quality. FMOLS and DOLS estimates yielded results well-matched with those acquired using the Engel–Granger method. Furthermore, the gross rates of biofuel consumption equal 2.40% for the period 2010–2023 and 2.80% for the forecast period 2023–2035. Similarly, the growth rates of gross domestic product were calculated at 7.50% for the period 2010–2023 and 11.00% for the projected period 2023–2035. Also, the gross rates of CO2 emissions were calculated at 1.90% for the period 2010–2023 and 0.95% for the projected period 2023–2035. The results indicate that biofuel consumption is expected to continue growing at a faster rate, joined by strong economic growth. Particularly, the projected slowdown in carbon dioxide emissions suggests a possible decoupling of economic activity from environmental degradation. These findings underscore the need to promote biofuel development and clean energy policies to reinforce sustainable economic growth while reducing emissions in the long term.

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