Climate-Smart Governance and Sustainable Management of Forest and Agricultural Resources
気候スマートガバナンスと森林・農業資源の持続可能な管理 (AI 翻訳)
Syed Afzal Moshadi Shah, Nikhil Vp
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
パキスタンの1990Q1〜2024Q4の四半期データを用いて、気候リスクと森林生態系の関連をロバスト最小二乗法（MM推定）で分析。水資源不足・気温上昇・近代的農業技術・農村貧困が森林劣化を悪化させる一方、コミュニティの適応的ガバナンスが森林の持続可能性に寄与することを実証した。
English
Using quarterly data from Pakistan (1990Q1–2024Q4) and robust least squares with MM-estimator, this study finds that water scarcity, rising temperatures, modern farming techniques, and rural poverty significantly damage forest ecology, while community-based adaptive governance supports sustainable forest growth. Findings emphasize reforestation, carbon reduction, and sustainable land management policies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本の森林保全や地域コミュニティ参加型ガバナンスに示唆を与えるが、気候・森林政策の文脈はパキスタン固有であり、直接の適用には限界がある。
In the global GX context
This paper adds empirical evidence from the Global South on climate risk and forest ecosystems, highlighting community-based adaptive governance and reforestation as policy levers. It complements global climate adaptation literature, though its direct relevance to ISSB/TCFD disclosure is limited.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides a long-term empirical approach to modeling climate risk impacts on forest ecosystems in developing countries.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights community participation and reforestation as cost-effective climate adaptation policies for forest resource management.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Forest ecology is central to achieving sustainable development goals that help eradicate poverty and hunger. Climate change rapidly affects the attainment and conservation of forest ecology. Deforestation is another concern that exacerbates climate risk and contributes to increased flooding. The objective of the study is to examine the direct linkages between climate risk and forest ecology by using quarterly data from Pakistan for the period from 1990Q1 to 2024Q4. The long time horizon enables regional events, policy changes, economic crises, technological developments, and climate change to be taken into account, which can affect the variables analyzed. Quarterly data provides a more detailed and dynamic picture of short-run fluctuations and seasonal variations than annual data, thereby enhancing the robustness of trend analysis and empirical estimation. The study used the Robust Least Squares (RLS) regression technique with the MM-estimator (Method of Moments estimator), which is robust to outliers, heteroskedasticity, and non-normal error terms. The results show that water resource scarcity, rising average temperatures, the use of modern farming techniques, and rising rural poverty causes greater damage to forest ecology. Further, the role of community stakeholders in adapting forest ecosystems, promoting water conservation practices, and mitigating water scarcity contributes significantly to the sustainable growth of forest resources in a country. The study concludes by emphasizing the role of climate-mitigating factors, including reforestation initiatives, carbon emissions reduction, sustainable land management, and environmental policy measures, in improving forest resources through a sustainable and policy-driven approach aimed at minimizing the risks associated with extreme weather events. Keywords: Forest Ecosystems, adaptive governance climate change, strategic management, agriculture tractors, Pakistan.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- semanticscholar https://doi.org/10.22194/jgias/26.2153first seen 2026-08-01 06:38:39
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