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ブラジル貨物鉄道におけるインフラ・技術ミスマッチから整合へ：投資モメンタムと持続可能な物流への道筋

From Infrastructure-Technology Mismatch to Alignment in Brazilian Freight Railways: Investment Momentum and Pathways for Sustainable Logistics (原題)

Bastos G, Marujo L

Research Squareプレプリント2026-10-28#エネルギー転換経営インパクト: 調達リスク対象セクター: transport
DOI: 10.20944/preprints202610.2730.v1
原典: https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202610.2730.v1

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

ブラジル貨物鉄道のインフラ・技術ミスマッチを静的な欠陥ではなく整合と順序付けの課題として再定義する。ANTT・ANTFのデータとFICO-FIOL東西回廊・FIOL 1事業を基に、ネットワーク拡張・規制調整・車両革新が同時進行することを示す。脱炭素は牽引技術にとどまらず、容量拡張・近代化・電化・デジタル化の複合ポートフォリオだと論じ、投資・政策・性能測定の整合フレームワークを提示する。

English

This paper reframes Brazil's freight rail infrastructure-technology mismatch as an alignment and sequencing challenge rather than a static deficiency. Using ANTT/ANTF data and the FICO-FIOL corridor projects, it shows network expansion, regulatory coordination and rolling-stock innovation advancing in parallel. It argues decarbonisation extends beyond traction technology to capacity expansion, modernisation, electrification and digitalisation, proposing an alignment framework for investment, policy and performance measurement.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

ブラジル固有の鉄道物流事例だが、インフラ整備と脱炭素技術の順序付けという論点は、日本の物流GX・モーダルシフト政策やScope 3排出削減のサプライチェーン設計に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

Adds a Global South freight-rail perspective to transition-finance and logistics-decarbonisation scholarship, complementing TCFD/ISSB-aligned work on hard-to-abate transport and infrastructure sequencing.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides a systems-alignment framework for studying infrastructure-technology co-development in freight decarbonisation.

🏢実務担当者:Useful for logistics and supply-chain teams assessing modal shift and rail investment sequencing in emerging markets.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need to coordinate corridor capacity, regulation and technology incentives rather than treating them in isolation.

📄 Abstract（原文）

This paper reframes the infrastructure-technology mismatch in Brazilian freight railways as an alignment and sequencing challenge rather than as a static structural deficiency. The analysis combines a green-logistics perspective with a systems view of rail transport and current Brazilian evidence on infrastructure investment, operating efficiency and decarbonisation. Recent data from the National Land Transport Agency (ANTT) and the National Association of Railway Carriers (ANTF), together with the FICO-FIOL East-West Corridor and FIOL 1 projects, indicate that network expansion, regulatory coordination and rolling-stock innovation are advancing simultaneously, although not always at the same pace. The paper therefore proposes a balanced interpretation: technology can generate substantial benefits when it is matched by corridor capacity, intermodal terminals, energy supply, digital control and predictable regulation. The Brazilian decarbonisation agenda also extends beyond traction technology. Capacity expansion, network modernisation, wagon and locomotive renewal, renewable fuels, electrification and operational digitalisation form a complementary portfolio. The main contribution is an infrastructure-technology alignment framework that converts the original mismatch hypothesis into a constructive agenda for investment, policy and performance measurement. The FICO-FIOL programme is presented as a strategic test of this co-development approach.

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