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CAN CARBON TRADING CATALYZE ECOLOGICAL CIRCULAR AGRICULTURE? QUASI-EXPERIMENTAL EVIDENCE FROM CHINA’S REGIONAL POLICY PILOTS

炭素取引は生態循環型農業を促進できるか?中国の地域政策パイロットからの疑似実験的証拠 (AI 翻訳)

Yidan Qiu, Yunfeng Xing

Agrociencia📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-05-29#炭素価格Origin: CN
DOI: 10.47163/agrociencia.v60i4.3521
原典: https://doi.org/10.47163/agrociencia.v60i4.3521

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本研究は中国の炭素取引政策が生態循環型農業に与える影響を、2006~2021年の30省パネルデータと差の差法で分析。炭素取引政策がパイロット地域の生態循環型農業を3.5%向上させ、主に生態技術と農業炭素生産性の向上を通じて効果を発揮することを発見。効果は西部地域と農業労働生産性の高い地域で顕著。農業システムにおける炭素取引メカニズムの理解を深め、効果的な制度設計に示唆を与える。

English

This study uses panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (2006-2021) and a difference-in-differences approach to examine the impact of carbon trading policy on ecological circular agriculture. It finds that carbon trading increases ecological circular agriculture by 3.5% in pilot regions, mainly through improved ecological technology and agricultural carbon productivity. Effects are strongest in western China and areas with higher agricultural labor productivity. The research provides insights for designing carbon trading mechanisms in agricultural systems.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

中国の炭素取引政策が農業分野に与える影響を実証した点で貴重。日本でも農業分野へのカーボンプライシング導入が議論されているが、本成果は技術向上と生産性を介した効果経路を示唆。ただし中国の制度設計に基づくため、日本への適用には調整が必要。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on how carbon trading can drive green transformation in agriculture, a sector often overlooked in climate policy. The findings on mechanisms (ecological technology, carbon productivity) are relevant for global discussions on agricultural decarbonization and carbon pricing design, though the China-specific context limits direct transferability.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Offers a quasi-experimental approach to evaluate carbon trading impacts on agriculture, useful for policy evaluation research.

🏢実務担当者:Provides insights on how carbon trading pilots can enhance agricultural sustainability through technology and productivity channels.

🏛政策担当者:Supports the design of agricultural carbon markets by demonstrating carbon trading's potential to catalyze circular agriculture.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Ecological circular agriculture is a necessary choice for sustainable agricultural development. It is crucial for alleviating resource-environmental pressures and balancing ecological and economic progress. Within this context, the role of carbon trading policy is significant, as it acts as a catalyst in promoting the vitality of ecological circular agriculture. However, there is a dearth of research on how carbon trading affects the development of ecological circular agriculture. Therefore, this study aims to fill this gap by examining the impact of carbon trading policy on ecological circular agriculture and its underlying mechanisms. Panel data from 30 provincial-level administrative regions in China spanning 2006–2021 was used to construct a multidimensional index for ecological circular agriculture and apply a difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The findings reveal that carbon trading policy can enhance ecological circular agriculture in pilot provinces (municipalities) by 3.5 %, primarily through improved ecological technology and agricultural carbon productivity to drive the green transformation of agriculture. The effects are most pronounced in the western Chinese region and areas with stronger agricultural labor productivity. This research improves the understanding of carbon trading mechanisms in agricultural systems and provides insights for designing effective carbon trading mechanisms.

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