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Future Projections of Lifecycle Cost and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Light-Duty Vehicles

乗用車のライフサイクルコストと温室効果ガス排出の将来予測 (AI 翻訳)

Karim Hamza, Kenneth Laberteaux, Kang-Ching Chu, Peter Benoliel

World Electric Vehicle Journal📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-07-03#EV・輸送Origin: US経営インパクト: コスト削減対象セクター: automotive
DOI: 10.3390/wevj17070347
原典: https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj17070347

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、電動パワートレイン車両のライフサイクルGHG排出と総保有コスト(TCO)を評価するオープンソースツールCarGHGを紹介する。北米の小型SUVを対象に、将来の電化シナリオと低炭素燃料の効果を分析し、複数の削減経路の重要性を示した。

English

This paper introduces CarGHG, an open-source tool for lifecycle GHG and total cost of ownership analysis of electrified powertrain vehicles. It analyzes future scenarios for small SUVs in North America, highlighting the need for multiple decarbonization pathways.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本でも電動化と低炭素燃料の検討が進む中、米国・北米のデータに基づく本モデルは、日本の乗用車のLCA評価や政策立案の参考となる可能性がある。

In the global GX context

This paper provides a parametric LCA and TCO tool for light-duty vehicles, relevant for global transport decarbonization strategies and technology assessment.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Utilize CarGHG for parametric studies of vehicle lifecycle emissions and cost under various scenarios.

🏢実務担当者:Assess lifecycle costs and emissions of electrified vehicle portfolios to inform procurement and product planning.

🏛政策担当者:Consider multiple technological pathways and uncertainties in transport decarbonization policies.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Vehicles with electrified powertrains carry the promise of significant reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a lifecycle analysis (LCA) standpoint compared to conventional internal combustion engine (CICE) vehicles. However, trade-offs exist between different types of electrified powertrains in terms of cost, consumer acceptance, and GHG reduction efficacy for different operating conditions. The open-source tool CarGHG was developed with an aim to enable the exploration of a plethora of parametric study scenarios, including the cost of electrification technologies, different driving patterns and charging habits, and the cost and carbon intensity of electricity and fuel blends. This paper introduces the framework of CarGHG, then showcases total cost of ownership (TCO) and LCA GHG results for select models of light-duty vehicles. Another capability of CarGHG, which is the ability to estimate the performance of “virtual” vehicle models (perceived vehicle design specifications not yet on the market), is utilized to explore future scenarios of electrification and low-carbon fuel blends for Small Sports Utility Vehicles (SUVs), a popular light-duty vehicle segment in North America. With opportunities, but also uncertainties, in future scenarios, it is likely wise to continue pursuing multiple ways towards the reduction of LCA GHG.

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