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都市エネルギーシステムにおける水素技術経路:モントリオールへの適用

Hydrogen technology pathways in metropolitan energy systems: An application to Montréal (原題)

Sara Ghaboulian Zare, Frédéric Babonneau, Olivier Bahn, Alain Haurie, Normand Mousseau, Najmeh Neshat, Martin Trépanier

Applied Energy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-09-05#水素Origin: Global対象セクター: energy
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.128780
原典: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.128780

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本論文は、都市規模での水素導入を評価するため、ETEMモデルを拡張し、モントリオール都市圏に適用。完全なカーボンニュートラル制約下では、2050年までに水素が最終エネルギー消費の約7%を占め、生産量は33PJ超に達するが、導入は重工業や電化困難な運輸部門に集中。気候制約が強まると、電気分解やCCSを活用した生産へ移行し、2040年以降に導入が加速。残存排出を相殺するため、最低1MtCO2/年のDACが必要と示す。

English

This paper extends the ETEM model to assess hydrogen integration in metropolitan energy systems, applying it to Montréal. Under full carbon neutrality, hydrogen reaches ~7% of final energy by 2050, with production exceeding 33 PJ, but uptake is concentrated in heavy industry and hard-to-electrify transport. As constraints tighten, production shifts to electrolysis and CCS, with deployment rising after 2040. Carbon neutrality requires at least 1 MtCO2/year of direct air capture to offset residual emissions.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本の都市圏(例:東京、大阪)での水素導入計画や自治体の脱炭素戦略に示唆を与える。国・州レベルのデータを都市スケールにダウンスケーリングする手法は、SSBJや温暖化対策計画の策定に有用。

In the global GX context

This study provides a replicable framework for metropolitan-scale hydrogen planning, relevant to C40 cities and subnational climate action. It complements global transition models by addressing urban implementation gaps, offering insights for ISSB-aligned disclosure and transition finance.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:都市スケールの水素モデリング手法とダウンスケーリングの応用を学べる。

🏢実務担当者:都市エネルギー計画や水素インフラ投資の検討に参考になる。

🏛政策担当者:都市レベルでの水素戦略とDAC要件の政策設計に示唆を与える。

📄 Abstract(原文)

Low-carbon hydrogen is increasingly considered a key option for decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors, yet most transition analyses are conducted at national or global scales, with limited attention to metropolitan energy systems where climate policies are implemented. This paper examines how hydrogen can contribute to urban decarbonization under multi-level climate governance by extending the Energy Technology Environment Model (ETEM) to integrate full hydrogen supply chains and applying a structured downscaling approach to translate national and provincial data to the metropolitan scale. The framework is applied to the Montréal Metropolitan Community (CMM), a member of the C40 Cities network, to evaluate hydrogen deployment under different decarbonization scenarios. Results show that under full carbon neutrality constraints, hydrogen reaches approximately 7% of total final energy consumption by 2050, with total production exceeding 33 PJ, yet uptake remains concentrated in heavy industry and hard-to-electrify transport, underscoring hydrogen's role as a targeted complement to electrification rather than a dominant energy carrier. As climate constraints tighten, hydrogen production shifts toward electrolysis and CCS-enabled pathways, with deployment increasing significantly after 2040. Carbon neutrality further requires a minimum direct air capture capacity of 1 MtCO₂/year to offset residual emissions from sectors where abatement through fuel switching alone is technically infeasible. The proposed modeling framework is designed to be adaptable to other metropolitan regions and C40 cities with similar data infrastructure, offering a structured approach for assessing hydrogen integration in urban energy transitions.

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