FINANCIAL RESILIENCE OF UKRAINE’S AGRICULTURAL SECTOR UNDER WAR AND CLIMATE SHOCKS: STRUCTURAL IMBALANCES AND IMPERATIVES OF GREEN TRANSFORMATION
戦争と気候ショック下におけるウクライナ農業部門の財務レジリエンス：構造的不均衡とグリーン転換の要請 (AI 翻訳)
Nataliia Maslak
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
1991～2025年のウクライナ農業部門を対象に、戦争・気候変動・持続可能金融への移行が財務レジリエンスに与える影響を分析。3つの発展段階を特定し、過少投資や輸出依存、ESGギャップなどの不均衡を指摘。復興・近代化・グリーン転換の同時ニーズを示す「三重赤字」概念を提示し、ブレンデッド・ファイナンスとESG金融商品の重要性を論じる。
English
Analyzes Ukraine's agricultural sector (1991-2025) under war, climate change, and sustainable finance transition. Identifies three development phases and key imbalances like underinvestment and ESG gaps. Proposes a 'triple deficit' concept requiring simultaneous financing of recovery, modernization, and green transformation, advocating blended finance and ESG instruments.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
ウクライナの事例は、紛争・気候リスク下での農業金融とグリーン転換の課題を示す。日本では直接適用は限定的だが、ESG金融やMRVインフラの重要性は示唆に富む。
In the global GX context
Provides empirical evidence on how war and climate shocks affect agricultural finance, relevant to global discussions on transition finance and ESG integration in fragile states. Offers lessons for blended finance and MRV infrastructure.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:農業セクターにおける戦争・気候ショックと金融レジリエンスの関連性を分析した枠組みを提供。
🏢実務担当者:ESG金融商品やブレンデッド・ファイナンスの設計に示唆。
🏛政策担当者:紛争・気候リスク下での農業支援策とグリーン転換の政策立案に参考。
📄 Abstract（原文）
The article provides a comprehensive analysis of the financial resilience of Ukraine’s agricultural sector over 1991–2025, considering the combined impact of war-related shocks, climate change, and institutional transformations associated with the transition to sustainable finance. Based on a long-term dynamic approach, three development phases are identified: post-Soviet disruption with financial undercapitalization and ecological debt (1991–1999), nonlinear recovery under an extensive “brown” growth model with the accumulation of structural and climate-related vulnerabilities (2000–2021), and war-induced destruction accompanied by the transformation of cyclical instability into a structural crisis (2022–2025). The study identifies key imbalances undermining financial resilience, including underinvestment, high production volatility, export dependence, the ESG gap, and degradation of natural capital. It is substantiated that environmental and climate factors have become direct determinants of access to finance, cost of capital, and long-term investment capacity. The concept of a “triple deficit” of financial support is developed, reflecting the simultaneous need to finance post-war recovery, complete modernization, and ensure green transformation. The research demonstrates the limitations of fiscal capacity under wartime conditions and argues for a transition toward a blended finance model integrating public, private, and international resources. The implementation of ESG-oriented financial instruments, risk-sharing mechanisms, and MRV infrastructure is identified as a key prerequisite for strengthening long-term resilience. The methodology combines historical-dynamic, comparative, and structural analysis with a review of EU and Ukrainian regulatory frameworks. Practical recommendations include the development of Agri-ESG credit products, green bonds, and climate adaptation funds, as well as differentiated financial mechanisms for various categories of agricultural producers and regions, ensuring inclusive and sustainable sectoral recovery.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openaire https://doi.org/10.32782/2304-0920/d2-108-10first seen 2026-08-04 04:42:00
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