ASEAN諸国における環境クズネッツ曲線枠組み下での移行金融と炭素排出動学
Transition Finance and Carbon Emission Dynamics within the Environmental Kuznets Curve Framework in ASEAN Countries (原題)
Deshinta Amalia Sholihah, Bambang Eko Afiatno
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文はASEAN10カ国・1991〜2020年のパネルデータを用い、環境クズネッツ曲線の枠組みで経済成長・化石燃料・再生可能エネルギー・技術革新・金融発展がCO₂排出に与える影響を分析した。経済成長や化石燃料消費、技術革新、金融発展は排出を増やす一方、再生可能エネルギーは未だ化石燃料の有効な代替となっていない。しかし金融発展と化石燃料の交互作用は、移行金融が排出影響を弱める可能性を示唆する。金融を移行金融へ再方向付けし、再生可能エネルギー代替と低炭素技術革新を加速する必要性を強調している。
English
Using panel data from ten ASEAN countries (1991–2020), this study applies the Environmental Kuznets Curve framework with Panel ARDL/PMG estimation to examine how growth, fossil energy, renewables, innovation, and financial development affect CO₂ emissions. Growth, fossil energy, innovation, and financial development raise emissions, while renewables have not yet substituted for fossil fuels. The interaction between financial development and fossil energy suggests transition finance can weaken emission impacts, underscoring the need to reorient finance toward transition and low-carbon innovation.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本企業にとってASEANは主要な生産・調達拠点であり、現地の脱炭素政策と移行金融の動向はScope 3排出やサプライチェーン管理に直結する。SSBJや有報での移行計画開示を進める上でも、新興国での金融と排出の関係を理解する材料となる。
In the global GX context
This paper adds emerging-market empirical evidence to the global transition finance debate, complementing TCFD/ISSB-aligned transition plan disclosure by showing how financial development interacts with fossil energy in ASEAN. It informs international investors and standard-setters on the conditions under which finance can credibly support decarbonization in developing economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:ASEANにおける移行金融と排出の長期関係をパネルARDLで示した実証研究として、EKC・金融発展・エネルギー転換の交差領域に関心を持つ研究者に有用。
🏢実務担当者:ASEAN拠点を持つ企業のサステナビリティ担当は、現地の移行金融環境が排出削減に与える影響を踏まえ、Scope 3やサプライチェーン脱炭素戦略を検討できる。
🏛政策担当者:ASEAN各国の政策当局は、金融発展を移行金融へ誘導することが排出削減に寄与しうる点を踏まえ、再生可能エネルギー代替と低炭素技術への資金誘導策を検討すべき。
📄 Abstract（原文）
ASEAN’s rapid economic growth continues to be accompanied by increasing environmental pressure due to its dependence on carbon-based energy. This condition indicates that decarbonization cannot rely solely on income growth, but requires support from energy transformation, technological innovation, and transition finance. This study aims to analyze the effects of economic growth, fossil energy consumption, renewable energy, technological innovation, financial development, and the interaction between financial development and fossil energy on CO₂ emissions within the Environmental Kuznets Curve framework. This research employs an explanatory quantitative approach using secondary annual panel data. The population consists of all ASEAN member states, and a saturated sampling technique is applied, in which the entire population is used as the sample, covering ten ASEAN countries. The research locations include Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam during the 1991–2020 period, with a total of 300 country-year observations. The analytical method used is Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag with the Pooled Mean Group estimator to examine short-run and long-run relationships. The results show that economic growth, fossil energy consumption, technological innovation, and financial development continue to increase CO₂ emissions, while renewable energy has not yet served as an effective substitute for fossil energy. However, the interaction between financial development and fossil energy indicates the potential role of transition finance in weakening emission impacts. The implications of this study emphasize the importance of reorienting finance toward transition financing, accelerating renewable energy substitution, and directing innovation toward low-carbon technologies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://journal.al-matani.com/index.php/index/article/view/2474first seen 2026-10-13 04:37:12
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