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A Quantitative Study: Can German Discrete Manufacturing Companies Achieve Net Zero GHG Emissions in Their Supply Chains Before 2040?

定量研究:ドイツの個別製造企業は2040年以前にサプライチェーンでネットゼロGHG排出を達成できるか? (AI 翻訳)

Helmig, Daniel

プレプリント2025-10-29#Scope 3Origin: EU
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17478751
原典: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17478751

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本博士論文は、ドイツの個別製造企業248社への調査に基づき、2040年までのサプライチェーンにおけるネットゼロGHG排出達成に影響する要因を定量的に分析。Scope 3排出が総排出の70~90%を占めるにもかかわらず、現行のEU規制はScope 1・2に偏っており、ギャップが存在する。分析の結果、現行の測定・報告基準とネットゼロ達成には負の相関があり、費用便益分析が障壁となっていること、既存政策が効果的なインセンティブとして機能していないことが明らかになった。

English

This doctoral dissertation quantitatively examines factors influencing net-zero GHG emissions in supply chains of German discrete manufacturing companies by 2040, focusing on Scope 3. A survey of 248 firms reveals negative correlations between current standards and net-zero achievement, cost-benefit barriers, and ineffective policies. Statistical analysis shows significant negative relationships between economic assessments and GHG reduction measures (β = -0.490, p < .001), highlighting structural challenges.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本企業にとってもScope 3排出の削減は喫緊の課題であり、本論文の「現行基準がかえって障壁になる」という知見は、SSBJ基準や有報での気候関連開示が進む中で示唆に富む。特に、費用便益分析が障壁となる点は、日本企業の投資判断にも通じる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence from Germany on the challenges of Scope 3 decarbonization, relevant to global frameworks like ISSB and CSRD. The finding that current standards and cost-benefit analyses hinder net-zero progress offers critical insights for policymakers and standard-setters worldwide.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides quantitative evidence on barriers to Scope 3 net-zero in manufacturing, useful for supply chain decarbonization research.

🏢実務担当者:Highlights that current reporting standards and cost-benefit analyses may impede Scope 3 reductions, urging companies to reassess their approaches.

🏛政策担当者:Suggests that existing EU regulations are insufficient for Scope 3; policymakers should design more effective incentives and standards.

📄 Abstract(原文)

Abstract This doctoral dissertation quantitatively examines the factors influencing the achievement of net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the supply chains of German discrete manufacturing companies before 2040, with particular focus on Scope 3 emissions. Despite Scope 3 emissions accounting for 70-90% of total emissions in many industries, existing regulatory frameworks within the European Union primarily emphasise Scope 1 and 2 emissions, creating a critical gap in addressing climate neutrality. Through a structured survey of 248 German discrete manufacturing companies, the study investigates whether implementing current standards, cost-benefit considerations, and regulatory frameworks support or hinder these companies’ ability to reach this ambitious environmental target. The research reveals a negative correlation between current measurement and reporting standards and the achievement of net-zero emissions. Cost-benefit analyses often appear to act as barriers rather than enablers, and existing policies are not perceived as effective incentives for implementing necessary supply chain changes. Statistical analysis demonstrates significant negative relationships between economic assessments and GHG reduction measures (β = -0.490, p < .001), highlighting structural challenges in aligning financial evaluation with sustainability goals. The results can contribute to the development of more rationalised standards, policies, and economic frameworks to accelerate the transition towards sustainable supply chain practices within the discrete manufacturing industry. Keywords: GHG Emissions, Scope 3, Supply Chain Change, GHG Emission Regulations, GHG Reporting Standards, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Triple-Bottom-Line

🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース

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